1. PREDICTIONS
We've
all heard predictions about the future. Sure, sometimes
"experts"
are right
on target, but check out what they got wrong! Thanks, and
enjoy!
Predicting
the Future ...
"Man
will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific
advances."
-- Dr. Lee DeForest, Inventor of TV
"The
bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosive." --
Admiral
William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project
"There
is no likehood man can ever tap the power of the atom." --
Robert
Millikan,
Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923
"Computers
in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." --
Popular
Mechanics,
forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949
"I
think there is a world market for maybe five computers." --
Thomas
Watson, chairman
of IBM, 1943
"I
have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked
with
the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a
fad
that won't last out the year." -- The editor in charge of
business
books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"But
what ... is it good for?" -- Engineer at the Advanced Computing
Systems
Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
"640K
ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates, 1981
"This
'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously
considered
as a means
of communication. The device is inherently of no value to
us."
-- Western Union internal memo, 1876.
"The
wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who
would
pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David
Sarnoff's
associates in response to his urgings for investment in the
radio
in the 1920s.
"The
concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn
better
than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible." --
A Yale
University management professor in response to Fred Smith's
paper
proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to
found
Federal Express Corp.)
"I'm
just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and
not
Gary Cooper." -- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the
leading
role
in "Gone With The Wind."
"A
cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports
say
America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you
make."
--
Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. Fields' Cookies.
"We
don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out." --
Decca
Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles,1962.
"Heavier-than-air
flying machines are impossible." -- Lord Kelvin,
president,
Royal Society, 1895.
"If
I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The
literature
was full of examples that said you
can't
do this." -- Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique
adhesives
for 3-M "Post-It" Notepads.
"So
we went to Atari and said, 'Hey, we've got this amazing thing,
even
built with some of your parts, and what do you think about
funding
us?
Or we'll give it to you. We just want to do it. Pay our salary,
we'll
come work for you.' And they said, 'No.' So then we went to
Hewlett-Packard,
and they said, 'Hey, we don't need you. You
haven't
got through college yet.'" -- Apple Computer Inc. founder
Steve
Jobs on attempts to get Atari and H-P interested in his and
Steve
Wozniak's
personal computer.
"Professor
Goddard does not know the relation between action and
reaction
and the need to have something better than a vacuum against
which
to react. He seems to lack the basic knowledge ladled out
daily
in high schools." -- 1921 New York Times editorial about Robert
Goddard's
revolutionary rocket work.
"Drill
for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil?
You're
crazy." -- Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his
project
to drill for oil in 1859.
"Stocks
have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." --
Irving
Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
"Airplanes
are interesting toys but of no military value." --
Marechal
Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de
Guerre.
"Everything
that can be invented has been invented." -- Charles H.
Duell,
Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899.
"Louis
Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." -- Pierre
Pachet,
Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
"The
abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the
intrusion
of the wise and humane surgeon."
--
Sir John Eric Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed
Surgeon-Extraordinary
to Queen Victoria 1873.
and
last but not least...
"There
is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." --
Ken
Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp.,
1977
Anything
that seems impossible today is so simple tomorrow !